Complete Stock Verification Guide
Use this guide after you finish the book, or any time you are reviewing a stock in real life.
It is the final decision framework for the book:
- It forces business, financial, valuation, sector, and portfolio discipline.
- It relies on primary sources first, then convenience tools.
- It is designed for Indian listed equities, but the logic is portable.
Source Priority
- Latest consolidated annual report.
- Latest quarterly results and exchange filings.
- Investor presentation and earnings call material.
- Screener.in and other aggregators for convenience only.
- Price, market cap, and trading data from the exchange or a trusted broker feed.
If a convenience source conflicts with a filing, the filing wins.
Quick Links
| Tool | Use |
|---|---|
| Book Index | Full chapter map |
| CHEATSHEET.md | Ratios and formulas |
| CHECKLIST.md | Short action lists |
| Stock Verifier | Full stock review workflow |
| Quick Analyzer | Fast input-based verdict |
| Part Practice Labs | Hands-on chapter drills |
How to Use This Guide
1. Write the stock name and analysis date.
2. Start with the latest annual report and quarterly filings.
3. Complete Phase 0 to Phase 8 in order.
4. Mark each check PASS / FAIL / WARN.
5. Any critical fail stops the process.
6. Write the thesis and invalidation triggers before buying.
Stock Under Review
| Field | Entry |
|---|---|
| Stock name / NSE symbol | |
| Sector | |
| Current price | |
| Market cap | |
| Date of analysis | |
| Already holding? | Yes / No |
| Entry price, if holding |
Master Flow
Phase 0: Investor Readiness
Parts used: Part 01, Part 08, Part 14
Before stock selection, make sure personal finance is not broken.
| # | Check | Pass? | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | Emergency fund covers 6-12 months of expenses | Ch 98 | |
| 0.2 | High-interest debt is cleared | Part 01 overview | |
| 0.3 | Investing habit is consistent, not random | Ch 03 | |
| 0.4 | Asset allocation is defined | Ch 63 | |
| 0.5 | Emotional discipline is in place | Ch 02 |
Gate: If 0.1 or 0.2 fails, fix personal finance first. Do not move to stock picking.
Phase 1: Business Quality
Parts used: Part 04, Part 05, Part 07, Part 09
Circle of Competence
| # | Question | Yes / No | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1 | Can you explain the business model in 2 sentences? | ||
| 1.2 | Do you know how the company makes money? | ||
| 1.3 | Is the industry growing, stable, or declining? | ||
| 1.4 | Is this inside your circle of competence? | Ch 36 |
Critical fail: If 1.1 or 1.2 is "No", reject the stock unless you are willing to do deeper study first.
Economic Moat
| Moat source | Present? | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Brand / pricing power | ||
| Cost advantage | ||
| Switching costs | ||
| Network effects | ||
| Regulatory / license barrier | Ch 46 |
Interpretation: 0-1 weak, 2-3 moderate, 4-5 strong.
Management and Governance
| # | Check | Pass? | Red flag if |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Promoter holding is stable or improving | Falling sharply for 3+ years | |
| 1.6 | Promoter pledge is low | High pledge or rising pledge | |
| 1.7 | Capital allocation track record is sensible | Repeated dilution or bad acquisitions | |
| 1.8 | Related-party transactions look normal | Unusual or opaque RPTs | |
| 1.9 | Auditor opinion is clean | Qualification, emphasis, or frequent auditor changes |
Critical fail: Cannot explain the business, or governance is weak enough to damage trust.
Phase 2: Financial Statements
Part used: Part 02
Use the latest consolidated annual report and the latest quarterly filing.
Profit and Loss
| Metric | Year -4 | Year -3 | Year -2 | Year -1 | Latest | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ||||||
| EBITDA margin | ||||||
| PAT | ||||||
| EPS |
| # | Check | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1 | Revenue is growing over 3-5 years, or there is a credible turnaround | |
| 2.2 | PAT is not driven mainly by one-time items | |
| 2.3 | Margins are stable or expanding |
Balance Sheet
Debt / Equity = Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
| Metric | Latest | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | ||
| Shareholders' equity | ||
| Debt / Equity | ||
| Receivable days trend | ||
| Inventory days trend |
| # | Check | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | Debt is manageable for the sector | |
| 2.5 | Book value is growing over time | |
| 2.6 | Working capital is not exploding |
Cash Flow
FCF = Cash from Operations - Capex
| Item | Latest FY | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Cash from operations | ||
| Capex | ||
| Free cash flow | ||
| FCF vs PAT |
| # | Check | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | FCF is positive, or there is a clear path to positive FCF | |
| 2.8 | CFO broadly tracks PAT over time | |
| 2.9 | FCF covers dividends, if the stock is a dividend story |
Critical fail: CFO is much weaker than PAT for multiple years and management has no clean explanation.
Annual Report Scan
| Section | What to check |
|---|---|
| Chairman's letter | Honest tone, matches numbers |
| MD&A | Risks are acknowledged, not hidden |
| Auditor report | Clean opinion, no worrying emphasis |
| Contingent liabilities | Material items explained clearly |
| Accounting policy changes | Reasonable and disclosed |
For banks and other financials, replace debt focus with capital adequacy, asset quality, NIM, CASA, and ROA.
Phase 3: Fundamental Ratios
Part used: Part 03
| Ratio | Formula | Strong | Caution |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROE | PAT / Equity | > 15% | < 10% |
| ROCE | EBIT / Capital employed | > 15% | < 12% |
| Debt / Equity | Debt / Equity | < 0.5 for non-financials | > 1.5 |
| Interest coverage | EBIT / Interest | > 3x | < 1.5x |
| P/E | Price / EPS | Reasonable vs peers | Extreme vs peers |
| P/B | Price / BVPS | Justified by ROE | High without support |
| PEG | P/E / growth | < 1.5 | > 2 |
| FCF yield | FCF / Market cap | Positive and healthy | Negative |
| Dividend yield | DPS / Price | Sustainable | FCF cannot fund dividend |
DuPont Check
| # | Question | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | ROE is high for 3+ years | |
| 3.2 | ROCE is not far below ROE unless the business model justifies it | |
| 3.3 | High ROE comes from operations, not only leverage |
Critical fail: High ROE is mostly leverage-driven and the balance sheet is stretched.
Banking note: For banks and NBFCs, P/B, ROA, NIM, CASA, GNPA, NNPA, PCR, and CAR matter more than plain D/E.
Phase 4: Value vs Growth Fit
Parts used: Part 04, Part 05
Intrinsic Value and Margin of Safety
MOS = (Intrinsic Value - Market Price) / Intrinsic Value * 100
| Method | Estimate | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Number | Ch 30 | |
| Sector-adjusted fair P/E | ||
| Conservative DCF | Ch 33 | |
| Average intrinsic value | ||
| Current price | ||
| Margin of safety |
| MOS | Zone | Typical action |
|---|---|---|
| 25%+ | Deep value | Strong buy candidate if quality is intact |
| 15-25% | Buy zone | Accumulate in tranches |
| 0-15% | Fair | Hold, wait, or SIP only |
| < 0% | Expensive | Watchlist or avoid |
Value Trap Filter
Reject if 3 or more are true:
| # | Value trap signal | Yes? |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | Low P/E but revenue is declining for 3+ years | |
| 4.2 | High dividend but FCF cannot fund it | |
| 4.3 | Industry is structurally disrupted | |
| 4.4 | High debt plus falling margins | |
| 4.5 | The market is pricing a permanent decline |
Critical fail: Three or more value-trap signals are present.
Growth Quality
| # | Check | Pass? | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.6 | Revenue growth is above 15% over a sensible base period | ||
| 4.7 | EPS growth is keeping pace with revenue growth | ||
| 4.8 | PEG is 1.5 or lower | ||
| 4.9 | Scalability is visible as scale rises | Ch 45 | |
| 4.10 | There is a clear 5-year runway |
Mr. Market Check
| Question | Answer |
|---|---|
| Why is the price moving recently? | |
| Did the business change, or only sentiment? | |
| Would you own 100% of the business for 10 years? |
Phase 5: Quant Screens
Part used: Part 10
Quant screens are support tools, not a substitute for the thesis.
| Screen | Value | Pass? | Guide |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | /9 | 7+ | Ch 72 |
| Altman Z-Score | Above distress zone | Ch 71 | |
| PEG ratio | 1.5 or lower | Ch 73 | |
| DCF sanity check | Intrinsic value supports the price | Ch 74 |
Important: Altman Z-Score is most useful for manufacturing and asset-heavy businesses. Do not force it onto banks or other financials.
| # | Check | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 5.1 | F-Score is strong, or the quality story is manually clear | |
| 5.2 | No meaningful distress signal is visible | |
| 5.3 | The price is not assuming perfection |
Phase 6: Sector Checks
Parts used: Part 11, Part 13
Use only the sector block that matches the company.
Banking
| Metric | Pass guide |
|---|---|
| NIM | Healthy and stable |
| CASA | Strong and improving |
| GNPA | Low or improving |
| NNPA | Low |
| PCR | Comfortable |
| ROA | Above 1% is often a useful guide |
| CAR | Adequate buffer |
Core idea: Banking is an asset-quality business, not just an earnings-growth story.
Defence / PSU Industrial
| Metric | Pass guide |
|---|---|
| Order book | Visible multi-year runway |
| Order book to revenue | Strong enough to support future growth |
| Execution | Delivery history is credible |
| Margin trend | Stable or improving |
| Working capital | Not getting out of hand |
IT / Services
| Metric | Pass guide |
|---|---|
| Revenue growth | Stable |
| Attrition | Not spiking |
| Dollar revenue mix | Understand currency exposure |
| Client concentration | No dangerous dependence |
| Deal pipeline | Visible |
Power / Infrastructure / NBFC
| Metric | Pass guide |
|---|---|
| Sector KPI | PLF, spread, or NIM as applicable |
| Regulatory risk | Understood |
| Asset quality / project delays | Acceptable |
| Receivables | Under control |
General / Other Sectors
| # | Check | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1 | You identified the correct sector KPI | |
| 6.2 | You compared the company with at least 2 peers | |
| 6.3 | You noted the macro or policy tailwind or headwind |
Phase 7: Portfolio Fit
Parts used: Part 06, Part 12
Even a good stock can become a bad decision if the portfolio is wrong.
| # | Check | Pass? |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1 | The stock fits the current asset allocation | |
| 7.2 | Single-stock exposure is reasonable for your risk profile | |
| 7.3 | Sector exposure is not already too concentrated | |
| 7.4 | Correlation with existing holdings is acceptable | |
| 7.5 | Entry plan is defined: lump sum, 2-3 tranches, or SIP | |
| 7.6 | Total number of holdings stays manageable |
Exit Rules
Exit or reduce if any of these are true:
| # | Exit trigger | Yes? |
|---|---|---|
| E.1 | The investment thesis is broken | |
| E.2 | Governance or accounting risk has emerged | |
| E.3 | Financial quality is deteriorating for 2+ quarters | |
| E.4 | Price is far above intrinsic value and re-rating is complete | |
| E.5 | The portfolio risk budget is broken |
Do not exit only because the price is down 10-20% while the thesis is intact.
Phase 8: Final Thesis
Part used: Part 09
Write the thesis before buying, not after.
Thesis Template
- Why is this a good business?
- Which 3 metrics prove the quality?
- Why is the price attractive now?
Invalidation Triggers
- What would make you wrong on the business?
- What would make you wrong on the valuation?
Review Date
Set the next review date here: ____________________
Master Scorecard
| Phase | Max points | Your score | Critical fail |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 - Investor ready | 5 | /5 | Emergency fund or debt problem |
| 1 - Business quality | 10 | /10 | Cannot explain the business or governance is weak |
| 2 - Financial statements | 9 | /9 | CFO quality or audit concern |
| 3 - Fundamental ratios | 10 | /10 | Leverage trap or broken quality |
| 4 - Valuation and traps | 10 | /10 | 3+ value traps |
| 5 - Quant screens | 3 | /3 | Distress signal |
| 6 - Sector checks | 3 | /3 | Wrong KPI or sector risk ignored |
| 7 - Portfolio fit | 6 | /6 | Position sizing or concentration problem |
| Total | 56 | /56 |
Scoring guide
| Total score | Quality grade | Typical verdict |
|---|---|---|
| 45-56 | A | Buy / Accumulate, if MOS is also acceptable |
| 35-44 | B | Staggered Buy / Hold |
| 25-34 | C | Watchlist |
| 15-24 | D | Avoid |
| < 15 or any critical fail | F | Reject / Exit |
Verdict Matrix
Use both the score and the margin of safety.
| Score | MOS >= 20% | MOS 10-20% | MOS 0-10% | MOS < 0% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45+ | Strong Buy | Buy / SIP | Hold / Small add | Wait |
| 35-44 | Buy staggered | Watchlist | Hold only | Avoid new |
| 25-34 | Watchlist | Avoid | Avoid | Reject |
| < 25 | Reject | Reject | Reject | Reject |
Final Decision
Choose one:
BUY / STAGGERED BUY / HOLD / WATCHLIST / AVOID / EXIT / REJECT
Position Size Guide
| Conviction | MOS | Suggested size |
|---|---|---|
| High | 25%+ | Up to 8-10% |
| Medium | 15-25% | 5-7% |
| Low or first entry | 10-15% | 2-3% |
For most retail portfolios, do not exceed 10% in a single stock.
Quick Reject Scan
If any two of these are true and there is no strong counter-thesis, stop:
- Revenue is falling for 2+ years.
- FCF is negative while dividends are being paid aggressively.
- Promoter pledge is high or rising.
- Auditor is qualified, or auditor changes keep happening.
- D/E is high for a non-financial company and ROCE is falling.
- PEG is above 2 while growth is slowing.
- CFO is much weaker than PAT for 2+ years.
- The stock is up 100%+ in 12 months and MOS is negative.
- You cannot explain the business model in simple words.
- You bought only because of a tip, a chat group, or hype.
Book Part Map
| Phase | Book parts | Key chapters |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 01, 08, 14 | 01-03, 63-66, 98 |
| 1 | 04, 05, 07, 09 | 28-41, 42-51, 61-62, 67-70 |
| 2 | 02 | 06-15 |
| 3 | 03 | 16-27 |
| 4 | 04, 05 | 28-41, 42-51 |
| 5 | 10 | 71-76 |
| 6 | 11, 13 | 77-84, 93-97 |
| 7 | 06, 12 | 52-60, 85-92 |
| 8 | 09 | 67-70 |
After You Decide
| Action | Tool |
|---|---|
| Log the decision | Investment journal with date, thesis, price, and review date |
| Re-check numbers | Stock Verifier and Quick Analyzer |
| Practice the framework | Part Practice Labs |
| Print the guide | Ctrl+P, then save as PDF |
| Re-verify yearly | Re-run the guide after each annual report or major quarterly change |
Final Reminders
| Principle | What it means here |
|---|---|
| Margin of Safety | Do not skip Phase 4 |
| Circle of Competence | Reject what you do not understand |
| Mr. Market | Use price swings, do not follow them |
| Quality at Fair Price | Great business matters more than a cheap headline multiple |
| Sell discipline | Thesis broken means exit |
Tax treatment can change. Check the current Finance Act and official guidance before you rely on any tax assumption.
Disclaimer: Educational content only. Not SEBI-registered investment advice. Verify the latest filings, current tax law, and your own risk profile before investing.