Complete Stock Verification Guide

Use this guide after you finish the book, or any time you are reviewing a stock in real life.

It is the final decision framework for the book:

  • It forces business, financial, valuation, sector, and portfolio discipline.
  • It relies on primary sources first, then convenience tools.
  • It is designed for Indian listed equities, but the logic is portable.

Source Priority

  1. Latest consolidated annual report.
  2. Latest quarterly results and exchange filings.
  3. Investor presentation and earnings call material.
  4. Screener.in and other aggregators for convenience only.
  5. Price, market cap, and trading data from the exchange or a trusted broker feed.

If a convenience source conflicts with a filing, the filing wins.

ToolUse
Book IndexFull chapter map
CHEATSHEET.mdRatios and formulas
CHECKLIST.mdShort action lists
Stock VerifierFull stock review workflow
Quick AnalyzerFast input-based verdict
Part Practice LabsHands-on chapter drills

How to Use This Guide

1. Write the stock name and analysis date.
2. Start with the latest annual report and quarterly filings.
3. Complete Phase 0 to Phase 8 in order.
4. Mark each check PASS / FAIL / WARN.
5. Any critical fail stops the process.
6. Write the thesis and invalidation triggers before buying.

Stock Under Review

FieldEntry
Stock name / NSE symbol
Sector
Current price
Market cap
Date of analysis
Already holding?Yes / No
Entry price, if holding

Master Flow

flowchart TB P0[Phase 0: Investor Ready?] -->|Pass| P1[Phase 1: Business Quality] P0 -->|Fail| STOP[Stop] P1 --> P2[Phase 2: Financial Statements] P2 --> P3[Phase 3: Fundamental Ratios] P3 --> P4[Phase 4: Value vs Growth Fit] P4 --> P5[Phase 5: Quant Screens] P5 --> P6[Phase 6: Sector Checks] P6 --> P7[Phase 7: Portfolio Fit] P7 --> P8[Phase 8: Final Thesis] P8 --> V{Verdict} V --> BUY[Buy / Accumulate] V --> WATCH[Watchlist / Stagger] V --> HOLD[Hold] V --> AVOID[Avoid / Reject] V --> EXIT[Exit]

Phase 0: Investor Readiness

Parts used: Part 01, Part 08, Part 14

Before stock selection, make sure personal finance is not broken.

#CheckPass?Reference
0.1Emergency fund covers 6-12 months of expensesCh 98
0.2High-interest debt is clearedPart 01 overview
0.3Investing habit is consistent, not randomCh 03
0.4Asset allocation is definedCh 63
0.5Emotional discipline is in placeCh 02

Gate: If 0.1 or 0.2 fails, fix personal finance first. Do not move to stock picking.


Phase 1: Business Quality

Parts used: Part 04, Part 05, Part 07, Part 09

Circle of Competence

#QuestionYes / NoNotes
1.1Can you explain the business model in 2 sentences?
1.2Do you know how the company makes money?
1.3Is the industry growing, stable, or declining?
1.4Is this inside your circle of competence?Ch 36

Critical fail: If 1.1 or 1.2 is "No", reject the stock unless you are willing to do deeper study first.

Economic Moat

Moat sourcePresent?Evidence
Brand / pricing power
Cost advantage
Switching costs
Network effects
Regulatory / license barrierCh 46

Interpretation: 0-1 weak, 2-3 moderate, 4-5 strong.

Management and Governance

#CheckPass?Red flag if
1.5Promoter holding is stable or improvingFalling sharply for 3+ years
1.6Promoter pledge is lowHigh pledge or rising pledge
1.7Capital allocation track record is sensibleRepeated dilution or bad acquisitions
1.8Related-party transactions look normalUnusual or opaque RPTs
1.9Auditor opinion is cleanQualification, emphasis, or frequent auditor changes

Critical fail: Cannot explain the business, or governance is weak enough to damage trust.


Phase 2: Financial Statements

Part used: Part 02

Use the latest consolidated annual report and the latest quarterly filing.

Profit and Loss

MetricYear -4Year -3Year -2Year -1LatestTrend
Revenue
EBITDA margin
PAT
EPS
#CheckPass?
2.1Revenue is growing over 3-5 years, or there is a credible turnaround
2.2PAT is not driven mainly by one-time items
2.3Margins are stable or expanding

Balance Sheet

Debt / Equity = Total Debt / Shareholders' Equity
MetricLatestComment
Total debt
Shareholders' equity
Debt / Equity
Receivable days trend
Inventory days trend
#CheckPass?
2.4Debt is manageable for the sector
2.5Book value is growing over time
2.6Working capital is not exploding

Cash Flow

FCF = Cash from Operations - Capex
ItemLatest FYComment
Cash from operations
Capex
Free cash flow
FCF vs PAT
#CheckPass?
2.7FCF is positive, or there is a clear path to positive FCF
2.8CFO broadly tracks PAT over time
2.9FCF covers dividends, if the stock is a dividend story

Critical fail: CFO is much weaker than PAT for multiple years and management has no clean explanation.

Annual Report Scan

SectionWhat to check
Chairman's letterHonest tone, matches numbers
MD&ARisks are acknowledged, not hidden
Auditor reportClean opinion, no worrying emphasis
Contingent liabilitiesMaterial items explained clearly
Accounting policy changesReasonable and disclosed

For banks and other financials, replace debt focus with capital adequacy, asset quality, NIM, CASA, and ROA.


Phase 3: Fundamental Ratios

Part used: Part 03

RatioFormulaStrongCaution
ROEPAT / Equity> 15%< 10%
ROCEEBIT / Capital employed> 15%< 12%
Debt / EquityDebt / Equity< 0.5 for non-financials> 1.5
Interest coverageEBIT / Interest> 3x< 1.5x
P/EPrice / EPSReasonable vs peersExtreme vs peers
P/BPrice / BVPSJustified by ROEHigh without support
PEGP/E / growth< 1.5> 2
FCF yieldFCF / Market capPositive and healthyNegative
Dividend yieldDPS / PriceSustainableFCF cannot fund dividend

DuPont Check

#QuestionPass?
3.1ROE is high for 3+ years
3.2ROCE is not far below ROE unless the business model justifies it
3.3High ROE comes from operations, not only leverage

Critical fail: High ROE is mostly leverage-driven and the balance sheet is stretched.

Banking note: For banks and NBFCs, P/B, ROA, NIM, CASA, GNPA, NNPA, PCR, and CAR matter more than plain D/E.


Phase 4: Value vs Growth Fit

Parts used: Part 04, Part 05

Intrinsic Value and Margin of Safety

MOS = (Intrinsic Value - Market Price) / Intrinsic Value * 100
MethodEstimateNotes
Graham NumberCh 30
Sector-adjusted fair P/E
Conservative DCFCh 33
Average intrinsic value
Current price
Margin of safety
MOSZoneTypical action
25%+Deep valueStrong buy candidate if quality is intact
15-25%Buy zoneAccumulate in tranches
0-15%FairHold, wait, or SIP only
< 0%ExpensiveWatchlist or avoid

Value Trap Filter

Reject if 3 or more are true:

#Value trap signalYes?
4.1Low P/E but revenue is declining for 3+ years
4.2High dividend but FCF cannot fund it
4.3Industry is structurally disrupted
4.4High debt plus falling margins
4.5The market is pricing a permanent decline

Critical fail: Three or more value-trap signals are present.

Growth Quality

#CheckPass?
4.6Revenue growth is above 15% over a sensible base period
4.7EPS growth is keeping pace with revenue growth
4.8PEG is 1.5 or lower
4.9Scalability is visible as scale risesCh 45
4.10There is a clear 5-year runway

Mr. Market Check

QuestionAnswer
Why is the price moving recently?
Did the business change, or only sentiment?
Would you own 100% of the business for 10 years?

Phase 5: Quant Screens

Part used: Part 10

Quant screens are support tools, not a substitute for the thesis.

ScreenValuePass?Guide
Piotroski F-Score/97+Ch 72
Altman Z-ScoreAbove distress zoneCh 71
PEG ratio1.5 or lowerCh 73
DCF sanity checkIntrinsic value supports the priceCh 74

Important: Altman Z-Score is most useful for manufacturing and asset-heavy businesses. Do not force it onto banks or other financials.

#CheckPass?
5.1F-Score is strong, or the quality story is manually clear
5.2No meaningful distress signal is visible
5.3The price is not assuming perfection

Phase 6: Sector Checks

Parts used: Part 11, Part 13

Use only the sector block that matches the company.

Banking

MetricPass guide
NIMHealthy and stable
CASAStrong and improving
GNPALow or improving
NNPALow
PCRComfortable
ROAAbove 1% is often a useful guide
CARAdequate buffer

Core idea: Banking is an asset-quality business, not just an earnings-growth story.

Defence / PSU Industrial

MetricPass guide
Order bookVisible multi-year runway
Order book to revenueStrong enough to support future growth
ExecutionDelivery history is credible
Margin trendStable or improving
Working capitalNot getting out of hand

IT / Services

MetricPass guide
Revenue growthStable
AttritionNot spiking
Dollar revenue mixUnderstand currency exposure
Client concentrationNo dangerous dependence
Deal pipelineVisible

Power / Infrastructure / NBFC

MetricPass guide
Sector KPIPLF, spread, or NIM as applicable
Regulatory riskUnderstood
Asset quality / project delaysAcceptable
ReceivablesUnder control

General / Other Sectors

#CheckPass?
6.1You identified the correct sector KPI
6.2You compared the company with at least 2 peers
6.3You noted the macro or policy tailwind or headwind

Phase 7: Portfolio Fit

Parts used: Part 06, Part 12

Even a good stock can become a bad decision if the portfolio is wrong.

#CheckPass?
7.1The stock fits the current asset allocation
7.2Single-stock exposure is reasonable for your risk profile
7.3Sector exposure is not already too concentrated
7.4Correlation with existing holdings is acceptable
7.5Entry plan is defined: lump sum, 2-3 tranches, or SIP
7.6Total number of holdings stays manageable

Exit Rules

Exit or reduce if any of these are true:

#Exit triggerYes?
E.1The investment thesis is broken
E.2Governance or accounting risk has emerged
E.3Financial quality is deteriorating for 2+ quarters
E.4Price is far above intrinsic value and re-rating is complete
E.5The portfolio risk budget is broken

Do not exit only because the price is down 10-20% while the thesis is intact.


Phase 8: Final Thesis

Part used: Part 09

Write the thesis before buying, not after.

Thesis Template

  1. Why is this a good business?
  2. Which 3 metrics prove the quality?
  3. Why is the price attractive now?

Invalidation Triggers

  1. What would make you wrong on the business?
  2. What would make you wrong on the valuation?

Review Date

Set the next review date here: ____________________


Master Scorecard

PhaseMax pointsYour scoreCritical fail
0 - Investor ready5/5Emergency fund or debt problem
1 - Business quality10/10Cannot explain the business or governance is weak
2 - Financial statements9/9CFO quality or audit concern
3 - Fundamental ratios10/10Leverage trap or broken quality
4 - Valuation and traps10/103+ value traps
5 - Quant screens3/3Distress signal
6 - Sector checks3/3Wrong KPI or sector risk ignored
7 - Portfolio fit6/6Position sizing or concentration problem
Total56/56

Scoring guide

Total scoreQuality gradeTypical verdict
45-56ABuy / Accumulate, if MOS is also acceptable
35-44BStaggered Buy / Hold
25-34CWatchlist
15-24DAvoid
< 15 or any critical failFReject / Exit

Verdict Matrix

Use both the score and the margin of safety.

ScoreMOS >= 20%MOS 10-20%MOS 0-10%MOS < 0%
45+Strong BuyBuy / SIPHold / Small addWait
35-44Buy staggeredWatchlistHold onlyAvoid new
25-34WatchlistAvoidAvoidReject
< 25RejectRejectRejectReject

Final Decision

Choose one:

BUY / STAGGERED BUY / HOLD / WATCHLIST / AVOID / EXIT / REJECT

Position Size Guide

ConvictionMOSSuggested size
High25%+Up to 8-10%
Medium15-25%5-7%
Low or first entry10-15%2-3%

For most retail portfolios, do not exceed 10% in a single stock.


Quick Reject Scan

If any two of these are true and there is no strong counter-thesis, stop:

  • Revenue is falling for 2+ years.
  • FCF is negative while dividends are being paid aggressively.
  • Promoter pledge is high or rising.
  • Auditor is qualified, or auditor changes keep happening.
  • D/E is high for a non-financial company and ROCE is falling.
  • PEG is above 2 while growth is slowing.
  • CFO is much weaker than PAT for 2+ years.
  • The stock is up 100%+ in 12 months and MOS is negative.
  • You cannot explain the business model in simple words.
  • You bought only because of a tip, a chat group, or hype.

Book Part Map

PhaseBook partsKey chapters
001, 08, 1401-03, 63-66, 98
104, 05, 07, 0928-41, 42-51, 61-62, 67-70
20206-15
30316-27
404, 0528-41, 42-51
51071-76
611, 1377-84, 93-97
706, 1252-60, 85-92
80967-70

After You Decide

ActionTool
Log the decisionInvestment journal with date, thesis, price, and review date
Re-check numbersStock Verifier and Quick Analyzer
Practice the frameworkPart Practice Labs
Print the guideCtrl+P, then save as PDF
Re-verify yearlyRe-run the guide after each annual report or major quarterly change

Final Reminders

PrincipleWhat it means here
Margin of SafetyDo not skip Phase 4
Circle of CompetenceReject what you do not understand
Mr. MarketUse price swings, do not follow them
Quality at Fair PriceGreat business matters more than a cheap headline multiple
Sell disciplineThesis broken means exit

Tax treatment can change. Check the current Finance Act and official guidance before you rely on any tax assumption.


Disclaimer: Educational content only. Not SEBI-registered investment advice. Verify the latest filings, current tax law, and your own risk profile before investing.